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Featured Reviews. He thinks ten-year bond rates could scare 0. I asked him to give us a brief tour, based on some of the graphs in his latest presentation, and it arrived today.

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Rob will be with me in about a week in Italy, and I look forward to great evenings over Italian food with friends and family. Here, Rob looks into the future something he does with great success in his funds and walks us commentaru in time. Then we can turn attention to working backwards, identifying the intervening "path of least resistance. What will happen in the months читать далее No one really knows.

What will happen in the years ahead? Nations addicted to debt-financed consumption will have to balance their books. All of Europe and the US and Japan will be spending no more or very little more than their tax receipts, a few years hence.

flirting with disaster molly hatchet lead lesson 3 4 8 commentary

Because — as with any family — debt-financed consumption is ultimately unsustainable. The more a nation relies on foreign investors to fund its spending, the faster this cliff arrives.

Entitlement spending roughly equals receipts attached flirting with disaster molly hatchet lead lesson 3 4 8 commentary the entitlements.

So the same logic applies: Age of eligibility, means testing, and rationing are the paths of least resistance; but this will require an evisceration of the public sector and empowering of the private sector, which will in turn require a stark liberalization of regulatory and employment law.

Increasing global pressure for financial transparency, to facilitate tax collection, will become the norm. Greece can simply slash public-worker salaries or head count to be fully covered by tax receipts. Likewise, Spain, Italy, Portugal, France!

The domino effect here is obvious: Italy and France are not assured продолжить чтение remain in the EZ in this circumstance. And back with John. It all sounds so simple when he explains it.

But we will lurch from crisis to crisis in Europe, and then Japan will enter the picture in a big way. Hopefully we in the US can learn a lesson and deal proactively with our very similar problems, about which I will write this week.

And now I have to go to my next meeting, although it will be a pleasant one over a low-cholesterol dinner. Have a great week. The next time you hear from me I will be in Madrid on my way to Italy. So adios and ciao for now. Be the best-informed person in the flirting with disaster molly hatchet lead lesson 3 4 8 commentary with your very own risk-free trial of Over My Shoulder.

The U. Traditionally policy makers adopt a monetary-fiscal policy mix that is targeted to the ailing economy; unfortunately for the U. Recently released economic data confirm the end of the strong patch; the lack of real disposable personal income has resulted in a slump in the primary driver of aggregate demand, consumer spending. In what seems like an annual event, economists are once again returning больше на странице their models for downward revisions to GDP growth estimates.

Anecdotes contained in the Bloomberg Orange Book have identified all of the current underlying influences in the economy including a paradigm shift in the retail sector and the temporarily positive economic consequences of a warmer than historical spring. Both of these factors imply deteriorating activity.

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A sinking economy requires stimulus dksaster two agents, the Federal Reserve and the government. Ultimately, the economy is righted by some combination of these two sources. Today, monetary policy is rendered impotent since the U.

The housing industry has historically детальнее на этой странице a major macroeconomic driver though employment — purely domestic since they cannot be off-shored — and through endless retail and spending channels. Manufacturing output has picked up sharply, with a brilliant V-shaped recovery.

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Unfortunately, there has omlly little-to-no job due to exponential gains in productivity in this sector.

Https:// the fiscal front, intensifying restrictive policies are impeding economic activity, and may send the economy into a tailspin before the arrival of the "Fiscal Cliff" in January Lays chip contest winner Canberra dating website.

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